×
Outrage + Optimism logo

Behind the scenes on the politics, investments and actions meeting the climate crisis head on

Arrow
Global Optimism logo

Stubborn optimism is a choice. Join us in tackling the climate crisis with conviction, scale and speed

Arrow

342: Follow The Money: Who’s driving climate disinformation?

This week we explore why disinformation is accelerating just as the climate stakes are rising, why it may be one of the greatest barriers to collective climate action - and how we can fight it.

Watermark of logo

About this episode

At the very moment we need clarity and trust, information integrity is being polluted. Disinformation is profitable and the impact on truth is dangerous - and nowhere is this more obvious than in the discourse around climate.

This week, Outrage + Optimism steps into the murky, fast-moving world of climate disinformation. Not simply misunderstanding and confusion, but the deliberate shaping of narratives to delay action, fracture trust, and profit from doubt.

Christiana Figueres, Tom Rivett-Carnac and Paul Dickinson explore why disinformation is accelerating just as the climate stakes are rising, how it feeds on human psychology, and why the erosion of shared facts may be one of the greatest barriers to collective climate action.

Paul brings us a conversation from COP30 with Jake Dubbins, a leading voice at the intersection of advertising, climate and human rights. Together they unpack how fossil fuel advertising, opaque algorithms and the attention economy are shaping what we see, what spreads, and what stalls climate action. And they examine the newly launched Declaration on Information Integrity on Climate Change, a first-of-its-kind effort at the international level.

But can governments, platforms and advertisers clean up a poisoned information space without sliding into censorship? And where should the line really be drawn between free expression and preventing harm?


Learn more:

🛡️ Read the Declaration on Information Integrity on Climate Change

📊 Explore the OECD report on disinformation and misinformation


🔍 Find out about the Conscious Advertising Network and Climate Action Against Disinformation


 

🎤 Leave us your voice notes and questions for upcoming episodes on SpeakPipe


Join the conversation: 


Instagram @outrageoptimism
LinkedIn @outrageoptimism

Or get in touch with us via this form

Producer: Ben Weaver-Hincks

Planning: Caitlin Hanrahan

Assistant Producer: Caillin McDaid

Exec Producer: Ellie Clifford



This is a Persephonica production for Global Optimism and is part of the Acast Creator Network.

Full Transcript


Transcript generated by AI. While we aim for accuracy, errors may still occur. Please refer to the episode’s audio for the definitive version

00:00:02.560 --> 00:00:04.280

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Hello, and welcome to Outrage and Optimism. I'm Tom Rivett-Carnac.

 

00:00:05.460 --> 00:00:06.760

Christiana Figueres: I'm Christiana Figueres.

 

00:00:06.760 --> 00:00:07.940

Paul Dickinson: And I'm Paul Dickinson.

 

00:00:07.940 --> 00:00:13.680

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Today, we're going to look at the world of disinformation around climate, and we bring you a conversation with Jake Dubbins. Thanks for being here. Okay, friends, so this is a topic we have been wanting to cover for a long time. And sadly, as time goes on, it is becoming no less relevant, in fact, more. And that is the murky world of disinformation on climate change. Now we should start off by just saying there are two terms that often get confused. One is misinformation and the other is disinformation. Misinformation is when somebody doesn't understand something and they need education and being informed in order to understand something better. Disinformation is actually the willful misleading for a specific objective. So this episode is about disinformation. And Paul, we're largely going to be looking to you to take us through some of this. You did the interview. Maybe we can just start off. Obviously, we're all going to chip in and provide perspectives. Why is this such an interesting topic to you?

 

00:01:00.760 --> 00:01:04.540

Paul Dickinson: Well, I think I start off with just the scale of it. I mean, for example, there are actually limits on things like political spending. But when commercial organizations want to use their budgets, their huge budgets to communicate with us, they are underneath. There is no limits for them. I used to know that half a trillion was being spent on advertising a year or 600 billion a year. It turns out that in 2025, $1.14 trillion are being spent on advertising to change our minds, which is an absolutely vast sum of money. I guess that it's the scale, fundamentally, it's the scale of this and how it manifests across all the new and ever consuming media that made me think, and I know we agree on this, all of us, but this is such a critical issue.

 

00:01:50.620 --> 00:01:51.900

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Christiana, any thoughts on this?

 

00:01:52.460 --> 00:01:58.400

Christiana Figueres: Well, I just wanted to go back to your definition, Tom, because they're not completely separate.

 

00:01:58.400 --> 00:01:58.900

Paul Dickinson: Yeah.

 

00:01:58.900 --> 00:02:00.000

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Yes, true.

 

00:02:00.000 --> 00:02:06.300

Christiana Figueres: I think if we start with disinformation, which as you correctly say, is basically an intent.

 

00:02:06.300 --> 00:02:06.760

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Yeah.

 

00:02:06.760 --> 00:02:13.040

Christiana Figueres: It represents an intent to lead to false conclusions. So there is a wrongful intent here to mislead. But when that occurs, whether using AI or anything else, very often that disinformation is picked up by people as though it were correct information. Yeah. And then those people spread it further, and then it becomes misinformation. Because the people who pick it up don't realize that what they're spreading is actually an untruth or actually a lie. So that's why this is such a difficult topic, because if it were just disinformation, then maybe one could deal with it a little bit better. But it's the confluence of disinformation that leads to misinformation, that then leads to polarization and radicalization, etc. So that for me is the difficulty here.

 

00:03:09.520 --> 00:03:10.460

Paul Dickinson: That's very well put. And if we just follow that down that rabbit hole, I could see someone in an oil and an executive in an oil and gas company commissioning a big campaign about kind of how this oil and gas company was committed to the energy transition. And they wouldn't think they were performing disinformation, perhaps. We might, I might think they were performing disinformation. And then their big campaign might go out there. And I would call that disinformation then. And then millions of people would follow that. And they would be, in my opinion, suffering from misinformation. So it goes all around these different categories.

 

00:03:39.080 --> 00:03:44.160

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Yeah, that's such a good point, because always in all communication, you can't share all bits of information. There is an editorial process that goes on in any form of communication. That's certainly true of advertising. And that $1.14 trillion, which is an astonishing number that's spent every year, Paul, is spent with the objective of advancing, I suppose most of it, 90% of it, or I don't know what the number is, is spent with the objective of advancing the commercial interests of the entity that has actually spending the money. And therefore necessarily it's going to be partial and tell a partial story. So how do we unpick? I mean, first of all, before we go any further, we should say, it is outrageous, and I know this bit's obvious, but we should just name it. It is outrageous that we could get to 2025, when we know that we are facing potentially devastating consequences for humanity and nature. And there still exists people on this planet who are willfully sharing disinformation in order to slow us down. And that should be a source of absolute outrage. I mean, can you imagine the mentality of someone who says, I know that I'm going to make this world worse, but it's in my commercial interests, so I'm going to spread disinformation? I mean, people probably feel rightly outraged about that. Christiana has a point.

 

00:04:48.440 --> 00:04:51.000

Christiana Figueres: I mean, that is outrageous. And one should understand that we humans, it's not that we're just stupid. It's that in this digital environment that just deluges us with information all the time, what we humans have to do or what we are want to doing, is to optimize the information that we receive for how much attention are we paying to it, not how truthful is it. So we're optimizing for our minutes of attention, sometimes hours, in the best of all cases, minutes of attention, and not optimizing for is it truthful? Is it correct? Is it scientifically grounded? That just takes more time. And it really is a factor of time. We want to pick up information quickly, expeditiously, and we don't want to have to spend hours finding out whether this sentence is actually true or not. So it's just a human way of acting. And it's interesting. To me, it's a time issue.

 

00:05:58.960 --> 00:06:00.140

Paul Dickinson: For sure. Modern media is designed to kind of keep you addicted. Also, there used to be so many more controls on kind of media messaging that the decline in quality is kind of a key issue.

 

00:06:10.340 --> 00:06:13.300

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Obviously, trying to pull these pieces apart is an enormous task. And it's actually one of the things we really want to come to next year. So we're going to spend some time throughout 2026 looking in more detail at disinformation. Where's it coming from? How's it changing our world? But we can kind of only scratch the surface today. Paul, in a minute, we're going to go to an interview that you conducted at COP, although it's not specifically about COP, but it's a great conversation with Jake Dubbins. It touches on something called the Declaration on Information Integrity. Now, that sounds like it might be something out of George Orwell, but maybe it's not.

 

00:06:38.280 --> 00:06:41.440

Paul Dickinson: I think it's designed to get us away from George Orwell's 1984. That's the whole point. It's kind of like, don't go to 1984, leave, leave. Look, it was a wonderful interview, and I think it was deeply connected to the COP, actually. Jake Dubbins, he's a global expert at the kind of intersection of advertising climate and human rights, and he's involved in multiple initiatives. He has an agency, Media Bounty, that he works in, but he's essentially looking at advertising transparency, fossil fuel influence, and climate disinformation. And this is work that connects brands and civil society and governments. And when I spoke to him, he was holding the Declaration on Information Integrity on Climate Change that was launched at COP 30, 12th November, and it was signed by nations, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Spain, Sweden, Uruguay. And it's now inviting other governments to become involved because ultimately, it is governments that I think are responsible for keeping the kind of air clean, keeping the water clean, and keeping the information space clean. We can't have our information space poisoned. So I think it's a fascinating interview. I hope you enjoy it.

 

00:07:44.220 --> 00:07:44.760

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Great. Should we go to the discussion now then?

 

00:07:45.960 --> 00:07:46.580

Paul Dickinson: Let's do it.

 

00:07:46.580 --> 00:07:47.820

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Here we go.

 

00:07:50.100 --> 00:07:54.760

Paul Dickinson: Jake Dubbins, such a pleasure to sit down with you today to talk about some really important stuff. I've made detailed notes of all the things you do and there are so many, I think you should tell our listeners who you are and what you do.

 

00:08:00.820 --> 00:08:06.720

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yeah, I tend to work in the intersection of advertising, climate change and human rights. That covers Conscious Advertising Network, which is a coalition of advertisers and civil society groups.

 

00:08:12.700 --> 00:08:13.540

Paul Dickinson: What's your role in that?

 

00:08:13.540 --> 00:08:15.320

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): I'm the co-chair of that. Then I'm connected to Climate Action Against Disinformation, which is another coalition, clues in the name of what that's trying to do. Then I run something called Media Bounty, which is an agency and then a project within that called Act Climate Labs, which is aiming to decarbonize the advertising industry and also use advertising to speed up and accelerate the transition.

 

00:08:35.060 --> 00:08:37.620

Paul Dickinson: Well, look, it's a real pleasure and honor to have you here. We're going to come on to talk about a very important declaration on information integrity on climate change.

 

00:08:44.980 --> 00:08:47.900

Tom Rivett-Carnac: But before we get there, why do we need some kind of declaration?

 

00:08:47.900 --> 00:08:50.020

Paul Dickinson: Isn't everything just kind of fine? Should we be worried about advertising or social media?

 

00:08:56.820 --> 00:08:57.820

Tom Rivett-Carnac: What's your view?

 

00:08:57.820 --> 00:09:06.220

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Well, I mean, the scale of the information environment and it's underpinning it by advertising is gargantuan. So I was reading this.

 

00:09:07.360 --> 00:09:08.060

Paul Dickinson: Can I just throw something in? I think it's at least $600 billion being spent each year on advertising, which sort of exceeds the GDP of most countries.

 

00:09:13.340 --> 00:09:14.440

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): It's a trillion.

 

00:09:14.440 --> 00:09:15.200

Paul Dickinson: Oh, good.

 

00:09:15.200 --> 00:09:21.660

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): So I was reading something that the entire wind industry is 100 billion. So it's a tenth of the size of the advertising industry globally. And so the problem with the advertising industry...

 

00:09:26.840 --> 00:09:30.180

Paul Dickinson: And that full trillion is just meant to persuade people to do things differently. Is that right?

 

00:09:30.860 --> 00:09:32.340

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Pretty much, yeah.

 

00:09:32.400 --> 00:09:33.420

Paul Dickinson: That's a lot of money.

 

00:09:33.420 --> 00:09:34.420

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): It's a lot of money. And effectively, it's a huge amount of money. It's incredibly opaque, this industry. The whole principle of it is that it's the attention economy. So basically, tech platforms want us to be on those platforms for longer. So if we're on those platforms for five hours a day, instead of two and a half hours a day, there's more advertising space that can be sold and put in front of the people on those platforms.

 

00:09:59.160 --> 00:10:03.700

Paul Dickinson: Yeah, I'm just going to stop here for a second, because I think there are two things that we might be talking about. The first one is fossil fuel industry advertising, for example, and marketing. And let's talk about that. But I just wanted to observe that you've gone in to talking about a kind of later stage and a more significantly modern problem that might be escalating, which is on the sort of social platforms. Just before we get there, I'm going to go right back to the start of this, I guess. I mean, how long have you been looking at conscious advertising?

 

00:10:28.560 --> 00:10:31.840

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): We started it in 2017.

 

00:10:31.840 --> 00:10:34.200

Paul Dickinson: But do you have views about fossil fuel advertising? Should it be allowed? Just before this interview, you and I were talking a little bit about smoking, in fact, and how quite early on in the campaigns against smoking, governments started saying, well, you can't advertise. I mean, do you have a view about fossil fuel advertising?

 

00:10:46.960 --> 00:10:55.920

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): I mean, last year, the Secretary General called for member states to ban fossil fuel advertising and for agencies and media owners to drop fossil fuel clients. So this week in COP, we launched Azat Climate Labs. My colleague, Florencia Lurani, launched alongside the Global Climate and Health Alliance and Médecins Sans Frontières, a blueprint to phase out fossil fuel advertising, which is effective.

 

00:11:08.600 --> 00:11:15.800

Paul Dickinson: So these are like medical associations supporting your campaign to get fossil fuels and the Secretary General of the United Nations. These are quite heavy hitters, right?

 

00:11:17.640 --> 00:11:18.580

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): They are. And, you know, because they see the scale of the problem and they see the problem of this influence industry. What we're trying to do with that is give companies, media owners and agencies a route out. It's all very well to call for and end fossil fuel advertising. But how? So it's basically, you know, five levers of change that say, well, how much revenue are you getting from fossil fuel advertising? How do you engage the board? What are the legal risks? You know, and therefore also what are the opportunities of this emergent sort of the transition, the huge opportunities that are coming with the transition. So we're trying to make the case that actually those that go first can own that opportunity in the future.

 

00:11:58.800 --> 00:12:05.420

Paul Dickinson: And I mean, I'm sure long before the laws were passed, some of the leading advertising agencies would have dropped cigarette clients. So there's a model there. Look, before we come on to talk about the Declaration, can you just, I interrupted you really, and you were beginning to talk about the, I can't think of another way to put it. It's getting worse aspect of, because I mean, I think probably most listeners will know this, but just to explain something obvious, advertising has gone from something 30 years ago, they used to be so to say, advertisements on television and in magazines and newspapers. And that's been 80 to 90 percent replaced essentially by advertising system that appears in social and electronic media. So can you talk a bit about what's been going on in the trends that worry you?

 

00:12:44.200 --> 00:12:46.060

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Firstly, it's the scale of it. We talked about the trillion dollars. So 70 to 80 percent of that money goes to a very few number of big platforms. So Google, Meta, TikTok, Amazon, mostly. So they control most of the advertising inventory and are also controlling, therefore, the information we receive. And so the point about information integrity is that that's not hardwired into policy frameworks. That is not hardwired into legislation. There's some attempts to do that with the Digital Services Act in the EU. Brazilian government are doing some great work and the UK with the Online Safety Act. But the point of the model is that legal but harmful content, such as climate disinformation, such as things like suicide videos, self-harm videos, vigilante violence videos that we're looking at at the moment, are being monetized by big brands. So they don't know that they're there because the opacity of the system.

 

00:13:42.480 --> 00:13:49.840

Paul Dickinson: You're saying Coca-Cola might be funding unbelievably disinformation or dangerous harmful videos without realizing?

 

00:13:49.840 --> 00:13:50.200

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yes. The system is not set up to be easily audited. So you're talking about placing ads on TV, for example. Now, it's a very opaque automatic system where the system serves ads to an available set of inventory across hundreds of thousands of websites, hundreds of thousands of social media pages in an instant. It's called real-time bidding basically. So it's done electronically.

 

00:14:13.140 --> 00:14:14.080

Paul Dickinson: By machines, right?

 

00:14:14.080 --> 00:14:15.300

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): By machines. That's where the industry is going. We can talk about AI in a minute, if you like.

 

00:14:19.020 --> 00:14:19.300

Paul Dickinson: Yeah. Things are going to get better or worse when the machine species take over.

 

00:14:24.160 --> 00:14:25.240

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Worse, probably. But yeah, just on that point. But to give you some really crystal clear example, certainly from a climate point of view, we've been looking at extreme weather events all over the world. So the US, wildfires in California, Portugal, wildfires, floods in Valencia, floods in Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil, and more recently, Hurricane Melissa in Jamaica. And all of those extreme weather events have disinformation online that are monetized. Some of the examples are that hurricanes are caused by the government. There are examples of wildfires set deliberately by governments to clear land for carbon markets. There is stuff like, don't trust rescuers, don't trust Obama in Brazil, don't trust FEMA in America. So rescuers coming to help, don't trust them. There's even one in Rio Grande do Sul where there was disinformation about the floods were caused by Madonna in a satanic ritual. Because she played in Rio. It goes from the sort of real mad stuff.

Load More

00:15:30.460 --> 00:15:31.740

Paul Dickinson: Let's deal with the money here for a minute. I wasn't for a minute suggesting the Coca-Cola company doesn't watch it. It's advertising very carefully. I'm sure they're all trying to avoid this kind of stuff. But essentially, we've got this nightmare partnership, I guess, between brands, which in the nature of things, spend money to promote themselves. We know that has been going on for a long time. You're saying there's crazy different disinformation being made. What is it? Potentially by hostile governments, so we don't even know who's making it and it's driving eyeballs, and the eyeballs are sucking in the adverts. Is that how it works?

 

00:15:57.800 --> 00:15:58.080

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yeah. The more eyeballs, the more money. Simple as that. So therefore, the more adverts that can be placed on these platforms.

 

00:16:04.800 --> 00:16:10.020

Paul Dickinson: And the trend is more automation, more platforms. You're worried that things are getting worse.

 

00:16:11.800 --> 00:16:12.460

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Definitely.

 

00:16:12.460 --> 00:16:13.440

Paul Dickinson: And since Trump came in, right? Because I believe there's been a rollback.

 

00:16:15.280 --> 00:16:16.740

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): There has been a rollback, yes. So on meta-platforms, for example, and we have challenged them on this, you can now say without any sort of content moderation that a woman can be a man's property. You can say that the LGBTQ plus community shouldn't exist. And again, really want to make this point about freedom of expression here, because freedom of expression obviously is a human right. It's very much central to the Declaration. So people are free to sort of say what they like within the law. But the critical thing there is they don't have a right to monetize that sort of stuff. And this is the economic model. So this legal but harmful point is the next video, the next video, the next video, that's the point of trying to keep you on there for longer. So there's more advertising in the tree to sell.

 

00:17:01.660 --> 00:17:07.020

Paul Dickinson: And I mean, there are quite strict rules, particularly in the UK, for example, which I personally don't object to enormously. But they would say that if you were making, you know, particularly an incitement to racial hatred or something like that, then you could be prosecuted anyway. Yes. The motivation, I mean, you could say, well, I'm a racist, this is my motivation. But also it could be that I'm getting followers. Could I personally be monetizing my hate content?

 

00:17:24.140 --> 00:17:24.700

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yes. How? So we are currently looking into a project on vigilante violence, where extremists are effectively beating up people on the streets. And those videos are both monetized, but also some of those videos have embedded ads for their own channel merch as well, merchandise. So they're making money from the ads and then from selling merch in the platform as well.

 

00:17:50.840 --> 00:17:53.260

Paul Dickinson: Well, they kind of beat people up merch, literally.

 

00:17:53.520 --> 00:17:54.360

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Kind of, yeah. It's pretty wild. So that's what, when you say it's getting worse, it got better for a period of time. It really did. And businesses and platforms genuinely work together. But it is now getting worse. And because there's no, not an adequate regulation to drive transparency through the supply chain, like any other supply chain, you know, it has checks and balances and measures to make sure that you're not...

 

00:18:19.280 --> 00:18:26.600

Paul Dickinson: Well, you know, way back in the day, 20 something years ago, I was walking through a town square and there was complaints against Nike with child labor. And then Nike said, Oh, we don't have any factories. That didn't work for them. And they changed their views pretty hard on that. Well, look, you've mentioned the declaration. And that's what I think we should be really celebrating and focusing on today. Declaration on Information Integrity on Climate Change. Who is this from? And what is this declaration?

 

00:18:43.820 --> 00:18:52.540

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): So there is something called the Global Initiative for Information Integrity on Climate Change that was launched by President Lula in the G20.

 

00:18:52.540 --> 00:18:53.280

Paul Dickinson: Sorry, I've got to say it. Leadership of Brazil, carry on.

 

00:18:55.060 --> 00:18:57.840

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yes, at the G20 last year. So the chairs are the Brazilian government, the United Nations and UNESCO. And then there were seven countries.

 

00:19:04.460 --> 00:19:06.080

Paul Dickinson: UNESCO is the?

 

00:19:06.540 --> 00:19:09.560

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Is effectively the cultural arm of the UN. So they cover things like cultural events. They kind of have the Biosphere programs, but also they look very much about protection and safety of journalists as well.

 

00:19:19.000 --> 00:19:19.800

Paul Dickinson: That's important.

 

00:19:19.800 --> 00:19:20.680

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Really important.

 

00:19:20.680 --> 00:19:22.060

Paul Dickinson: I'm here on a press badge today.

 

00:19:22.060 --> 00:19:28.160

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Well, you'll see in the Declaration as well, you know, the imperative about safety of journalists and scientists as well. So yes, three chairs. And then it was, it started with seven countries. And now there are, I believe, 14 countries, of which 12, I believe, have now signed the Declaration.

 

00:19:37.680 --> 00:19:45.060

Paul Dickinson: So this Declaration has been signed by Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, Uruguay. Those are pretty heavy hitting countries.

 

00:19:46.620 --> 00:19:47.060

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yeah. And it's the first time that this has happened in a COP. This issue hasn't really landed. We went to the Glasgow COP first, and we started to talk to people about climate disinformation, and they sort of blinked at us and went, what? And then actually a couple of years later, we worked with Tom.

 

00:20:02.960 --> 00:20:04.520

Paul Dickinson: Our very own Tom Rivett-Carnac.

 

00:20:04.520 --> 00:20:04.960

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yes. And he was on an event with us talking about this issue. So it's really started to gain traction as people get more aware of this issue. It's going to be an issue undermining everything. It undermines all the negotiation. How are you going to negotiate on loss and damage if you don't have a kind of agreed set of facts underneath it? So this issue, I think, is going to be critical, especially for, as Lula put it, the cop of truth.

 

00:20:26.580 --> 00:20:28.280

Paul Dickinson: How will the Declaration kind of play out? What are the sort of key aspects of the Declaration? How would you like to see it making its way into the world?

 

00:20:33.900 --> 00:20:36.040

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): I think this is a political declaration. It sets the political will. What, initially, here, we d love to see is that Lula, as I mentioned, started the COP saying this should be the cop of truth. We would like to see the Information Integrity make it into the cover decision, so the outcome of the document, because that would then deliver on this principle of it being a cop of truth. And then there are plenty of sort of, there are quite a few aspects to the Declaration, including things like, I mentioned, safety of journalists, access to data for researchers, because again, the data that researchers have and scientists have on the technology platforms has been reduced. There's a piece, obviously, about advertising in there, so making sure that there are policies and frameworks for transparent advertising, so both advertisers and civil society groups can have access to this massive trillion dollar industry.

 

00:21:27.380 --> 00:21:29.760

Paul Dickinson: And I mean, look, you've worked on this for a long time. How are you feeling about where we are, and how are you feeling about how the Declaration could, I'm hoping, to use that awful cliché, move the needle?

 

00:21:40.240 --> 00:21:45.700

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): I used to be a lot more naively optimistic about everything in climate and COPs. I think cautiously optimistic is probably where I would sit with this. I think this is a really good start. I think there's an alignment as well. Like advertisers don't want this stuff happening.

 

00:21:57.500 --> 00:22:00.860

Paul Dickinson: Kind of undermining that somebody's kind of soiling their industry.

 

00:22:01.140 --> 00:22:01.960

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yeah, exactly. They want a transparent supply chain. There's one advertiser we were with literally found themselves on 280,000 websites globally. How do you audit that? So they've literally cut it down to a few thousand and guess what? Their return on investment has gone up and their sales have gone up.

 

00:22:18.460 --> 00:22:18.760

Paul Dickinson: Right. So there's a business case for not causing suicide and climate denial.

 

00:22:23.260 --> 00:22:24.140

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yes. That's the critical thing. That's this alignment piece because if business can do well by having these transparent supply chain and then governments and civil society groups can do well because this is also about climate, but it's also about democracy, the undermining of our democratic institutions through disinformation as well. So I think the point is, is there's increasing alignment between business, civil society, governments as well, that hopefully, as I said, cautiously optimistic that this can be a start and then move from there. Again, respecting freedom of expression and basic human rights, but this is about taking on a business problem, I think.

 

00:23:04.040 --> 00:23:21.880

Paul Dickinson: Chris Wright, the new US Energy Secretary, who I think is a very dangerous individual, I've listened to his speeches and he speaks of what appears to be belief himself, that we need more fossil fuels to alleviate considerable poverty and suffering in many parts of the less developed world. Presumably, you wouldn't for a minute suggest he shouldn't be saying things like that. There must be some line where something's crossed. What's that definition of that line?

 

00:23:32.520 --> 00:23:35.280

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): I mean, that's something we talk about an awful lot. I think the point is you should, in a free country, with respect to freedom of expression, be able to say unpopular things, things that people might be offended by and so on. But I think it is this critical point of you don't have a right to algorithmic promotion of your racism or your climate denial, nor do you have a human right. There's no human right to earn money.

 

00:23:57.540 --> 00:24:02.040

Paul Dickinson: You're not actually so much talking about what people are saying. You're saying that there are circumstances where people are saying things that may be objectionable, but maybe they've got a right to say it. But your concern is with the manipulation of that by the platforms to raise revenues.

 

00:24:15.820 --> 00:24:16.160

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yes. Algorithms and the economic model are the two major things.

 

00:24:20.880 --> 00:24:22.100

Paul Dickinson: But you can't separate the two. There must be... There must be the line that's crossed. I mean, for me personally, spent a quarter of a century working on climate change. For me personally, the public not being persuaded that facts about things aren't facts, that's dangerous.

 

00:24:36.120 --> 00:24:39.720

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Hugely, hugely dangerous for all of us. How do we come together and solve some of the world's biggest problems if we're not on a basis of factual information? It is really obviously hugely important to protect freedom of expression. The other thing that is really interesting, the UK have put in process this Online Safety Act. Actually, there's nothing in it that will then go and arrest people for breaking that. It's actually other laws. Already, we have laws against incitement to violence and so on. It's actually other laws that we currently have, so it's not even tech policy.

 

00:25:14.600 --> 00:25:19.720

Paul Dickinson: Often, I think it's a case that law needs to catch up with changes in technology. It's just that when so-and-so was framed, there weren't weirdly smart algorithms bidding across 300,000 websites for tiny slices of... Yeah.

 

00:25:31.760 --> 00:25:32.320

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Exactly.

 

00:25:32.320 --> 00:25:32.860

Paul Dickinson: Totally get it. Exactly. Update our laws to meet our updated technology.

 

00:25:35.860 --> 00:25:36.640

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yes.

 

00:25:36.640 --> 00:25:37.740

Paul Dickinson: Makes perfect sense. Look, thank you so much for this, Jake. You're an inspiration and I think you've nailed the critical foundational issue that's been undermining everything, the hole in the bottom of the ship. People are thinking the climate change ship is sinking, and you're like, well, there's a big hole here, right? Just give me a little bit about fossil fuel advertising today, just as it appears. I mean, you would have seen adverts around here. What does that bring up for you?

 

00:26:00.700 --> 00:26:05.620

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Again, it's an opaque industry, but the scale of it again is massive. Just sponsorship is over five billion and it's bought sponsorship. Shell had a brief on $240 million globally, just on media buying. The media buying is done where policy makers are. If you've ever walked through Westminster, there'll be fossil fuel ads, defense ads and so on. But same when we launched this global initiative in Rio. The ads all around the G20 were Shell ads. Then we've seen a lot of what is publicly and maybe less publicly available, a lot of information that these fossil fuel companies are direct. Their audience is not to convince the man or woman on the street to put petrol from Shell or BP, is their audience is policy makers. We've got the International Gas Union said, they're targeting policy makers. Equinor have said in a response to the ASA on an ad that was banned to say, well, no, we're not targeting people, we're targeting policy makers. You're like, it's social license.

 

00:27:05.640 --> 00:27:08.540

Paul Dickinson: So policy makers are presumably people, but what do I know?

 

00:27:08.540 --> 00:27:09.540

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yeah, well, exactly. But they're trying to maintain their social license, and that's the play. You can, what's called geo-fence digital advertising. So you can set effectively a digital fence around events, as well as the physical stuff, the out of home stuff, the billboards. You can say, well, I'm going to just advertise around Bellem on digital platforms, and that's then the ads that you'll see if you pick up your phone and open a social media app or search on Google. So it's very deliberate, very targeted, sophisticated technology, but it creates that surround sound, right? We call it lobbytizing. There's the lobbying itself and the PR campaigns. I mean, Edelman are the kind of agency that are working here with the COP presidency, and they have lots of fossil fuel clients, right? But also that surround sound that if policy makers, where they are physically and where they are digitally, fossil fuel companies want to promote the fact that they are working for the future.

 

00:28:07.960 --> 00:28:10.640

Paul Dickinson: And what about AI? James Lovelock, who came up with Gaia Theory, this amazing scientist, wrote a book called Novosene, The Coming Era of Hyperintelligence. In the book blurb on the MIT website, it says, these new creatures will think at 10,000 times the speed of humans and will look at us the way we look at plants. How are those machines that we are or have our minds blown by each day? I've got to tell you, every time I do a search on an AI, and it comes up with this incredible thing in one second, I'm like, what is going on? How are those machines showing up in this area?

 

00:28:38.860 --> 00:28:41.780

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): I mean, they're obviously incredible, incredibly powerful. They are being adopted in this area. In an advertising space, I was talking to the CEO of GWEC, and he was saying that there was AI generated images of dead whales on beaches in America, saying that wind turbines were killing whales. This was before they built anything offshore. And then that spread all over the world. So there's the content problem, but also there's the opacity problem again. But the attention economy that I talked about earlier is also coming to these large language models. So effectively, OpenAI, who owned Chachi BT, are hiring monetization people. So therefore the incentive suddenly becomes, well, you know, serving you an answer. Well, they want to serve you more and more answers that may or may not have Information Integrity baked in. But if you're again on that large language model for longer, again, more ads can be served to you. I guess the other problem with, you know, this issue is the death of the open web in so far that if you're searching now on Chachi BT, as opposed to, say, Google, you're there. So you're not going off to special interest media and journalism. And also now the Google AI Overviews are taking the real estate. It used to be a search engine. Seems like it's more like an answers engine. And that's critically affecting the number of people going to journalism. And if we can't protect journalism, then, you know, how are we going to protect information integrity? So the owner of Rolling Stone is suing Google for abuse of monopoly in the last few weeks. And then I guess the final thing to say is that these large language models use so much carbon and so much water that, you said, MIT, on the MIT website, there was something where the predicted energy use for just on AI for data centers is predicted to be the equivalent of 22% of American households by 2028. So the energy use is going to go through the roof as well, which ain't going to be good for an American NDC if we ever see one again.

 

00:30:41.060 --> 00:30:41.400

Paul Dickinson: Yeah. Well, don't start us on the poor Great Republic right in the middle of its misery at the moment. Perhaps caused in no small measure by polarization driven by, what did you call it? Monetization of disinformation.

 

00:30:53.480 --> 00:30:54.180

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yeah, exactly. Monetization of legal but harmful. This podcast is Outrage and Optimism. It's monetizing outrage because if outrage keeps you there for longer and makes you watch another video, more money can be made.

 

00:31:08.100 --> 00:31:12.300

Paul Dickinson: I'm going to cross my fingers and wish for monetizing optimism. Can I ask you a sort of outrage and an optimism, so something that's most drives you crazy now and one dream you've got?

 

00:31:22.960 --> 00:31:37.680

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): I think outrage, we've kind of talked about it, the manipulation of a combination of fossil fuel advertising and big tech converging, I think, and I think the outrage also is you talked about lack of regulation. AI is coming at us like a train. The legislative and regulatory guidelines around AI are just not there. I think we're going to make the same mistake that we made with social media platforms or advertising companies, as I like to call them, as we will with AI. So that is something that I am currently outraged about. The optimism part, I mean, we're at COP, I think this is a hugely optimistic COP from the point of view of bringing everybody together. This has been, I went to the protest this morning. It was wonderful. You know, it was...

 

00:32:12.220 --> 00:32:15.060

Paul Dickinson: Brazil also doing really great protests, right? Tell us about it.

 

00:32:16.060 --> 00:32:17.460

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): It was incredibly emotional. It was so many groups from different walks of life coming together to demand action. These people are on the front lines of climate change, as are, by the way, we all. There's a storm in the UK at the moment. You know, this is not just a kind of somewhere else, but you know, this is groups in Brazil coming together. It was massive. Lots of groups, lots of indigenous communities coming together. But I burst into tears at one point because it was so powerful and kind of emotional.

 

00:32:43.060 --> 00:32:45.300

Paul Dickinson: They were doing the same at demonstrations.

 

00:32:45.300 --> 00:32:46.680

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Yeah, it was very powerful. And there was a brilliant sort of funeral for fossil fuels as well. There were sort of big coffins for oil, gas and coal. And it was just very clever sort of stunt, I guess. But the optimism of it still that hopefully with human beings coming together without all of this weird vested interests that seems to be skewed by money will hopefully finally get us there.

 

00:33:12.840 --> 00:33:14.740

Paul Dickinson: Jake Dubbins, thank you so much for joining us. Really appreciate this conversation, your inspiring work. And go Declaration on Information Integrity on Climate Change.

 

00:33:20.240 --> 00:33:23.680

Jake Dubbins (guest, Conscious Advertising Network): Thanks Paul, lovely to be here.

 

00:33:23.680 --> 00:33:25.840

Paul Dickinson: So friends, what did you make of that?

 

00:33:25.860 --> 00:33:34.340

Christiana Figueres: One thing that worries me about this whole issue is the attack on trust. Because disinformation leads us to distrusting science. Can you believe that we've reached that point? Distrusting media and journalism, as we have seen in the past few years, the attacks on journalists, distrusting institutions, distrusting even democracy and our exercise of democracy, and fundamentally distrusting each other, so that we now walk through the world greeting people with a question mark in front of our face. Can I trust this person? Can I trust what they say? I mean, it has just been such a pull of the rug from under us, from being able to operate, think and act out of a general sense of, well, yes, we can believe in all of this and we can act on it. Now, it's like, whatever anybody says, whatever we read has a big question mark on it. How did we get to that point? How are we questioning science?

 

00:34:48.400 --> 00:34:49.140

Tom Rivett-Carnac: It's interesting, isn't it? It made me think of this OECD report that came out a while ago that I'm sure you saw we'll put in the show notes on disinformation and misinformation, which actually points out that even if somebody knows that something is untrue, it still contributes to discord and a lack of coherence on a shared objective. I thought it was a great interview, Paul, and I think a few different things that stood out for me. He talks about this kind of legal but harmful content that's now being monetized at real scale. And actually, there's so much now as we get the kind of information and attention economy scaling up. Exactly to Christiana's point, it's so atomized in the interests of the various different players who are putting real money into this, that the net effect of that to society is we have no shared basis of agreement on anything. And we're experiencing that in climate. But you don't have a shared basis of agreement. You can't do any big things. All you can do is small things that get, small little winds that get worked on around the side. So I think this is really at the core of many of the challenges we're facing. And climate is just one manifestation. I think it's really interesting that climate disinformation spikes during extreme weather. That actually, that's a moment of knowledge that there's vulnerability there. That actually, extreme weather could lead to a sense of unity and-

 

00:36:06.500 --> 00:36:07.320

Paul Dickinson: Should lead. Should lead.

 

00:36:08.820 --> 00:36:09.940

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Should naturally lead. And there is a deliberate attempt. And God, I'd love to know exactly where it's coming from and have some witness inside the rooms where people are actually deliberately constructing these disinformation campaigns to prevent that unity from emerging. So that's a real source of outrage that is going on. That we're people that aren't consciously aware of that we're being manipulated in that way. I do think, notwithstanding my tongue in cheek comments earlier, that this declaration on information integrity on climate change is potentially a really interesting political breakthrough that gets people to focus on what many of the challenges are. I confess to not quite seeing my way from that declaration to sort of like sorting out this murky world. And that's no criticism of the declaration. It's such a multifaceted problem. And UN processes and declarations are by their very nature so difficult to implement when you get to something so complicated. I think it would be interesting to keep looking at this. And I also think the comments about or an observation that the solution here clearly isn't censoring speech. It's not about telling people what they can and can't say. It's about the algorithms, it's about the monetization, it's about this integration of sectional commercial interests with the ability to just have a massive megaphone. And we all suffer as a result.

 

00:37:27.240 --> 00:37:38.160

Paul Dickinson: Although there is speech, you can't, we have to live in free speech, and I can probably stand in the street and hand out leaflets saying, you should vote for the Green Party, or you should vote for Raj or something. But I can't hand out leaflets in a theater saying there's a fire when there isn't. There are limits to what you can reasonably do.

 

00:37:46.040 --> 00:37:48.440

Christiana Figueres: But how do you establish those limits, Paul? Because that's a limit for you. But it may not be a limit for other people.

 

00:37:54.720 --> 00:37:57.200

Paul Dickinson: You can't put a swastika flag up in Germany. It's against the law. They made that law. So the government can have a role. But you're right. When Trump came in this time around, second Trump term, there was a kind of general move to remove all kind of controls from social media. Being anti-woke actually meant you could just open the sewers of information and no one does anything about it anymore. When you talk to them about people spending resources to try and combat the response to extreme weather, I mean, God help those people if they ever end up in court. I know that any of us would testify, unfortunately, against them, that they acted supremely irresponsibly. And we have quite strict laws in the UK about what you can and can't say. And I personally am pretty supportive of them. Because of this idea, if you go back to George Orwell, his central thesis was 2 plus 2 equals 4. And the government in that particularly insightful book tries to persuade you that 2 plus 2 equals 5, because they know if they can do that, they can do anything. Vladimir Putin was advised by a theatre director who said, you know, okay, what you should do is you should fund the extreme left and you should fund the extreme right and you should fund the crazy people and you should tell everyone you're funding everyone. So there's no trust, there's no bedrock, no one knows what's going on. And so just a kind of concluding thought for me is, should really, fossil fuel advertising be allowed? And I would focus particularly on cigarettes here, because we've clearly come to the conclusion that cigarette advertising must not be allowed and is not allowed and has been banned for many, many years. And if you want a crazy experience one day and you're walking through duty free in an airport, go into the tragic little cigarette corner, where there's just photos of ghastly wounds and diseases caused by cigarettes on hundreds of packets. It's like, so we've got there with cigarettes. And the question is, when might we get there with similarly or even more damaging products?

 

00:39:43.220 --> 00:39:44.240

Christiana Figueres: Much more damaging.

 

00:39:44.700 --> 00:39:45.500

Tom Rivett-Carnac: I totally take your point. I think the fossil fuel advertising thing is a really interesting question that actually merits quite a bit of time to unpick the merits and the demerits one side or the other. I'm just struck also, you know, because the comments you made about government mandates, you know, George Orwell, Nazi Germany, you know, the government control. We're not in that situation, right? We're in a kind of banality of evil situation where lots of people are pursuing sectional interests and we have a crisis of communications that is leading to a crisis of confidence in shared truths like science and democracy and other things. And nobody's kind of, there might be some individuals in the fossil fuel industry who are kind of deliberately fomenting that. But in general, the problem is it's coming from lots of different places at once and the noise is really hard to deal with. That the noise is everywhere, you don't know what to believe, the Russian bots, the fossil fuel lobbying, all these other different things. So there are big issues here that I think it would merit us to, it would be helpful to the world to kind of unpick a bit and think really what are the pathways and solutions, because it would be ridiculous if we didn't deal with climate change because we kind of couldn't sort out the media landscape and say therefore just couldn't work out what to do.

 

00:40:54.100 --> 00:41:04.180

Christiana Figueres: And to that, Tom, I would add that the challenge here is the depth of the understanding of what human psychology is and how we react. So the fact that they have understood that they can stoke fear in us and that that will overtake reason because it does, because that's what our amygdala does. The fact that they can stoke outrage, outrage of the negative kind over curiosity, the fact that they can stoke lies and inventions over truth, the fact that they can stoke confirmation bias over thoughtful reflection. I mean, it does take much more effort to get us to reason, inquire, investigate, reflect, rather than just react to fear or confirmation bias or hatred or polarization or whatever. It does take more effort because our human psychology has been solidified in thousands of years from the time of our ancestors when we did have a real reason to fear and we're still in that. So they are exploiting that. They're exploiting the bottom, the roots of human fear that go thousands of years back and that we're just barely beginning to understand and get out of.

 

00:42:36.720 --> 00:42:40.240

Paul Dickinson: But can I just separate up the they there because there could well be two parties here. You could have happy foods or happy soaps, nice companies spending money on social media advertising. They're funding it. And then there's kind of evil bot farms and evil people taking you down these scary directions you've just been describing, Christiana. And it's a really unfortunate combination of the sometimes innocent companies with innocent advertising budgets that are being kind of abused by this fight or flight reflex. So, yeah, let's come back to this topic because it's huge, because we're not going to be able to win a debate when we can't have one because people are, minds are being bent.

 

00:43:15.860 --> 00:43:16.800

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Yeah. Okay. So, I mean, clearly there's lots of solutions and challenges here. I mean, the role of the platforms, what should be done there, the role of government, the role of NGOs and others to hold people to account, the role of scientists. Thank you for raising this, Paul. I thought it was a fascinating interview. I'm a big fan of Jake. I've done various things with him over the years. So I thought this was really helpful. And listeners, please do get in touch if you have views about this. We're really keen to hear about it. And we're developing our own understanding for a more in-depth analysis of it next year. So do reach out. And thanks for listening this week. See you next week.

 

00:43:44.860 --> 00:43:45.320

Christiana Figueres: Bye.

 

00:43:45.320 --> 00:43:45.460

Tom Rivett-Carnac: Bye.



Share

Latest Insights